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Vol. 91. Issue 2.
Pages 153-298 (April - June 2026)
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Vol. 91. Issue 2.
Pages 153-298 (April - June 2026)
Original article
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Predictive capacity of anti-tissue-transglutaminase IgA antibodies to identify intestinal villous atrophy in persons with celiac disease. An observational study at a referral center in Mexico City

Capacidad predictiva de los niveles de anticuerpos anti-transglutaminasa tisular IgA para identificar atrofia de vellosidades intestinales en personas con enfermedad celíaca. Estudio observacional en un centro de referencia en la Ciudad de México
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A. Fernández-Ramíreza, D. Aguirre-Villarreala,
Corresponding author
davidaguirre14@gmail.com

Corresponding author at. Vasco de Quiroga 15, Colonia Belisario Domínguez Sección XVI, 14080, Tlalpan, Mexico City, Mexico. Tel.: (+52) 55 54 87 09 00, Ext. 2710.
, G. Rosales-Sotomayora, J.J. Andrade-Rojasb, M. Lara-Salazarb, E. Kauffman-Ortegaa, A. Ángeles-Ángelesb, P. Rodríguez-Garcíaa, L. Uscanga-Domíngueza
a Departamento de Gastroenterología, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico
b Departamento de Patología, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico
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Table 1. Baseline characteristics.
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Table 2. Diagnostic accuracy of different anti-tTG IgA cutoff points for predicting villous atrophy.
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Table 3. Diagnostic accuracy of different anti-tTG IgA cutoff points for predicting villous atrophy.
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Abstract
Introduction and aims

Celiac disease (CD) is an autoimmune enteropathy secondary to gluten exposure, diagnosed through serology and duodenal biopsy. The predictive role of anti-tissue-transglutaminase antibody (aTG IgA) levels ≥ 10 times the upper limit of normal (ULN) in the degree of villous atrophy in duodenal biopsies in patients with CD has recently been evaluated. Our aim was to determine the predictive capacity of aTG IgA levels ≥ 10 times the ULN for detecting intestinal villous atrophy (IVA) in patients with CD.

Materials and methods

A retrospective, observational study was conducted on patients with suspected CD who underwent endoscopy with duodenal biopsy at a referral center in Mexico City. Demographic, clinical, and final diagnosis variables were registered. Descriptive statistics and an ROC analysis were performed, evaluating different cutoff points of aTG IgA antibodies as IVA predictors.

Results

The study included 366 patients (median age of 51 years). CD was diagnosed in 53 of the cases (14.5%). A total of 107 cases were classified as Marsh 3a-3c, and their main diagnoses were CD (45.8%), small intestinal bacterial overgrowth (23.4%), and tropical sprue (16.8%). The specificity of levels ≥ 10 times the ULN was 100% for Marsh 3a-3c, with 17.9% sensitivity, 74.7% NPV, and 100% PPV. The AUC was 70%, with an optimum threshold ≥ 3.3 U/mL ULN (45.3% sensitivity, 89.2% specificity).

Conclusion

Levels of aTG IgA ≥ 10 times the ULN are highly specific but have low sensitivity for predicting IVA in Mexican patients with CD, whereas using levels ≥ 3 times the ULN improves sensitivity, without compromising specificity.

Keywords:
Celiac disease
Anti-transglutaminase tissue IgA antibodies
Villous atrophy
Resumen
Introducción y objetivos

La enfermedad celíaca (EC) es una enteropatía autoinmune secundaria al consumo de gluten, diagnosticada mediante serología y biopsias duodenales. Recientemente se ha valorado el rol predictivo de niveles de anticuerpos ≥10 veces del límite superior normal (LSN) en el grado de atrofia de vellosidades en la biopsia duodenal de pacientes con EC. Nuestro objetivo fue determinar la capacidad predictiva de ≥10 veces el LSN de anticuerpos anti-transglutaminasa tisular (aTG IgA) para detectar atrofia de vellosidades intestinales (AVI) en pacientes con EC.

Material y métodos

Estudio observacional y retrospectivo de pacientes con sospecha de EC con niveles de aTG IgA y endoscopía con biopsia duodenal en un centro de referencia en la Ciudad de México. Se registraron datos demográficos, clínicos y el diagnóstico final. Se realizó estadística descriptiva y un análisis ROC valorando diferentes puntos de corte de anticuerpos aTG IgA como predictor de AVI.

Resultados

Se incluyeron 366 pacientes (mediana 51 años). Se diagnosticó EC en 53 casos (14.5%). Se encontraron 107 casos con Marsh 3a-3c. De estos, los diagnósticos principales fueron EC (45.8%), sobrecrecimiento bacteriano de intestino delgado (23.4%) y esprúe tropical (16.8%). La especificidad de niveles de ≥10 veces el LSN fue 100% para Marsh 3a-3c, con sensibilidad de 17.9%, VPN de 74.7% y VPP de 100%. El AUC fue de 70%, con un umbral óptimo de ≥3.3 U/mL el LSN (Se 45.3%, Sp 89.2%).

Conclusión

Los aTG IgA ≥10 veces el LSN son altamente específicos, pero poco sensibles para predecir AVI en mexicanos con EC, mientras que niveles de ≥3x LSN mejoran la sensibilidad sin comprometer la especificidad.

Palabras clave:
Enfermedad celíaca
Anticuerpos anti-transglutaminasa tisular IgA
Atrofia de vellosidades
Graphical abstract
Full Text
Introduction and aims

Celiac disease is an immune-mediated enteropathy triggered by the ingestion of gluten and related proteins in genetically susceptible individuals, whose diagnosis depends on the clinical symptoms, serum autoantibodies, and histologic findings.1–3 Specifically, international consensuses propose quantification of anti-tissue-transglutaminase IgA antibodies (aTG IgA) in blood as screening, with the concomitant measurement of immunoglobulin A (IgA), to rule out a negative result secondary to selective IgA deficiency.4,5 In patients with elevated anti-tTG IgA levels, the definitive diagnosis is made in relation to histopathologic findings, characterized by intestinal villous atrophy (IVA) associated with crypt hyperplasia and an increase in intraepithelial lymphocytes. Nevertheless, IVA is not exclusive of celiac disease.6

In 2012, The European Society of Paediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition (ESPGHAN) proposed an algorithm for diagnosing celiac disease in children with anti-tTG IgA antibodies ≥ 10 times the upper limit of normal (ULN), based on anti-endomysial antibody (anti-EMA) positivity and HLA DQ2/DQ8 allele expression. Later adjustments excluded the clinical manifestations and HLA DQ2/DQ8 typing from the diagnostic algorithm.7,8

In adults, the strategy of avoiding duodenal biopsy as a confirmatory test has not been universally accepted. Its potential usefulness was reconsidered following the restrictions imposed by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.9 However, previous studies conducted on adults had already shown that, under certain circumstances, duodenal biopsy could be avoided. For example, Penny et al. evaluated anti-tTG IgA levels ≥ 10xULN in 1417 patients from three cohorts, finding that 431 (30.4%) had said levels, and of those patients, 424 (98%) presented with Marsh 3 lesions, with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 95−100%.10 Similarly, Sugai et al. reported a PPV of 100% for anti-tTG IgA antibodies ≥ 10 times the reference value, in patients at high risk and low risk of celiac disease. In addition, they found that 34 U/mL correlated with villous atrophy in the high-risk population (a priori probability of 39%), whereas 139 U/mL was more adequate for the low-risk population (a priori probability of 3.3%).11 Lastly, in an international cohort of 436 subjects with celiac disease, Ciacci et al. showed that anti-tTG IgA levels ≥ 1xULN indicated villous atrophy with 93.9% accuracy that increased to 97.5% with levels ≥ 10xULN.12 Those studies indicate that if very high anti-tTG IgA antibody levels correlate with villous atrophy, lower values may also be useful in some cases for diagnosing celiac disease without duodenal biopsy.

Our study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic yield of anti-tTG IgA levels ≥ 10xULN for predicting villous atrophy in persons with suspected celiac disease, as well as to search for values above that level that indicated villous atrophy, and the optimum cutoff point for detecting it.

Material and methodsStudy design

A retrospective, observational study was conducted that reviewed the clinical records of patients with suspected celiac disease seen at the outpatient service of the gastroenterology department of the Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, within the time frame of January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2020. The STROBE checklist for observational studies was utilized.

Population studied

Patients of both sexes were included, above 18 years of age, referred to the gastroenterology outpatient service due to chronic diarrhea or clinical suspicion of celiac disease, who met the study protocol that included serum IgA, anti-tTG IgA, and biopsy of the duodenal mucosa. The patients also had to have a subsequent review at which the results of the laboratory tests and histopathologic findings were evaluated. Patients who had no duodenal biopsy, were lost to follow-up, had a previous diagnosis of celiac disease, or whose clinical records were incomplete were excluded. Patients with IgA levels under 66 mg/dL were eliminated from the study.

Data collected

Demographic, clinical, and biochemical data, histopathologic findings, and the final diagnosis were collected for all patients. The reason celiac disease was suspected was investigated, along with the laboratory data that supported the diagnosis, including iron profile, vitamin profile (folic acid and vitamin B12) and fecal fat, if present.

Celiac panel

The anti-tTG IgA antibody levels were quantified through the ELISA (Org 240A, Orgentec) technique in all patients. In some of the cases, the tests for anti-EMA (Euroimmun Anti-Endomysium IIFT, Euroimmun), anti-deamidated gliadin IgA and IgG (Quanta Lite Gliadin IgA/IgG II, Inova Diagnostics), or the HLA DQ2/DQ8 (Olerup SSP HLA DQ2/DQ8 Typing Kit, Olerup) risk-related haplotypes were performed.

Duodenal mucosal biopsy

A total of six duodenal biopsies were taken from each patient (four from the second part and two from the duodenal bulb). The samples were fixed in 10% formaldehyde and embedded in paraffin. The slices (4 μm-thick) were stained with hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) and independently examined by two specialists in gastrointestinal pathology (JAR and MLS), who were blinded to the serologic marker results and clinical characteristics of each patient. The histopathologic classification was carried out according to the modified Marsh-Oberhuber criteria.

Operative criteria

The diagnosis of celiac disease was made based on consistent clinical symptoms associated with elevated levels of serum autoantibodies (anti-tissue transglutaminase IgA, anti-EMA, or anti-deamidated gliadin IgA and IgG) and compatible histopathologic findings (Marsh 2–3). Seronegative celiac disease was considered when there were suggestive clinical data and villous atrophy that responded satisfactorily to a gluten-free diet and there was evident improvement in the histologic characteristics.

For the diagnosis of small intestinal bacterial overgrowth (SIBO), the lactulose breath test was utilized and read as suggestive when an elevation of hydrogen ≥ 20 ppm at 90 minutes or methane ≥ 10 was observed at any time.

Tropical sprue was diagnosed based on 1) compatible clinical symptoms, 2) deficient absorption of at least two different compounds (B12 in blood, fecal fat), 3) compatible histologic findings, 4) rule-out of other causes, and 5) clinical and biochemical response to treatment with tetracyclines and folic acid.

Inflammatory bowel disease was classified based on clinical presentation and endoscopic, histologic, and biochemical findings.

The group with irritable bowel syndrome was defined by the Rome IV criteria, having ruled out other causes.

The diagnosis of drug-induced diarrhea was made in the cases in which there was a temporal relationship between the onset of clinical symptoms and the start of the suspected drug (nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, immunosuppressants, or antihypertensives from the angiotensin II receptor antagonist group), ruling out other possible causes. The rest of the diagnostic criteria are detailed in Supplementary Table 1.

Regarding clinical criteria, isolated vitamin deficiency was defined as levels of serum folic acid < 2.7 ng/mL, vitamin B12 < 160 pg/mL, iron deficiency (transferrin saturation index below 15%), or weight loss (>5% body weight in 6 months). Fecal fat was determined through near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS) (normal < 10%) in a randomly taken stool sample without following a fixed fat diet.

Statistical analysis

For the descriptive analysis, mean and median were used as measures of central tendency with standard deviation (SD) or 25%–75% interquartile range (IQR) as measures of dispersion, depending on the data distribution. The Student’s t-test was applied for comparing two means, whereas the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparing medians in variables with nonparametric distribution (determined through the Shapiro-Wilk test). The chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test were applied to the categorical variables, when necessary.

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to determine the optimum cutoff point of anti-tTG IgA antibodies for identifying IVA. The data analysis was carried out using Rstudio software (2023.06.1 + 524).

Ethical considerations

This work meets the current bioethical research regulations, was authorized by the Research, Bioethics Committee of theInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán(GAS-4987-24-25-1,). Likewise(GAS-4987-24-25-1, patient data were collected, inserted into a database, identified by numbers different from those in the clinical records to ensure data confidentiality. The authors declare that this article contains no information that could identify patients, so their informed consent was not deemed necessary.

ResultsGroup total

A total of 367 medical records of patients that met the inclusion criteria were reviewed. One case with documented IgA deficiency was eliminated, resulting in a final total of 366 patients, 244 (66.7%) of whom were women. The median age of patients at diagnosis was 51 years (IQR 34–68). Table 1 shows the most relevant clinical and biochemical characteristics. Chronic diarrhea with abdominal pain and bloating were the most frequent symptoms leading to suspected celiac disease in the majority of cases (n = 214, 58.5%). Other less common symptoms were isolated nutritional deficiencies (n = 123, 33.6%) and isolated weight loss (n = 29, 7.9%). Iron deficiency was identified in 125 patients (34.1%) and steatorrhea in 92 (25.1%). A concomitant autoimmune disease was documented in 112 (30.6%) patients, and the most common one was hypothyroidism (n = 39, 10.7%). Fig. 1 shows the histopathologic findings in the study patients that are related to the final diagnosis. Of the entire group, 107 (31.8%) patients had Marsh 3a-3c villous atrophy.

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics.

Characteristics  Total (n = 366)  Celiac diseasep 
    No (n = 313)  Yes (n = 53)   
Sex, n %        0.834 
Female  244 (66.7)  208 (66.5)  36 (67.9)   
Male  122 (33.3)  10 (33.5)  17 (32.1)   
Age at diagnosis        0.012 
Median (IQR)  51 (34–68)  49 (45–67)  58 (34–63)   
Range  18–92  18–86  18–92   
Antibody titers, M (IQR)         
Anti-tTG IgA  2.6 (2.2–3)  2.5 (2.1–2.8)  16 (6.6–57.5)  <0.001 
Anti-deamidated gliadin IgG  4.9 (3.9–8.4)  4.6 (3.7–6.4)  9.2 (4.8–20.2)  <0.001 
Anti-deamidated gliadin IgA  6.0(4.2–14.8)  5.3 (4.1–7.3)  18.9 (14.6–83.2)  <0.001 
Anti-endomysial antibodies, n (%)        <0.001 
Not ordered  148 (40.4)  131 (88.5)  17 (11.5)   
Negative  211 (57.7)  182 (86.2)  29 (13.8)   
1/10  2 (0.5)  2 (100)   
1/20  2 (0.5)  2 (100)   
1/80  3 (0.8)  3 (100)   
Main symptom, n %        0.251 
Isolated diarrhea  214 (58.5)  187 (59.7)  27 (50.9)   
Nutritional deficiency  123 (33.6)  100 (31.9)  23 (43.4)   
Isolated weight loss  29 (7.9)  26 (8.3)  3 (5.7)   
Associated conditions, n %         
Iron deficiency  125 (34.1)  98 (31.3)  27 (50.9)  0.005 
Steatorrhea  92 (25.1)  70 (22.4)  22 (41.5)  0.003 
Autoimmune diseases  112 (30.6)  93 (29.7)  19 (35.8)  0.370 
Endoscopic findings, n %        <0.001 
Marsh 0  247 (67.5)  244 (78.0)  3 (5.6)   
Marsh 1  10 (2.7)  9 (2.9)  1 (1.9)   
Marsh 2  2 (0.5)  2 (0.6)   
Marsh 3a  67 (18.3)  39 (12.5)  28 (52.8)   
Marsh 3b  37 (10.1)  19 (6.1)  18 (34.0)   
Marsh 3c  3 (0.8)  3 (5.7)   

IQR: interquartile range.

Source: Original table of our own authorship.
Figure 1.

Duodenal biopsy (by Marsh-Oberhuber classification) in relation to the final diagnosis. Source: Original figure of our own authorship.

Celiac disease

Fifty-three cases were diagnosed with celiac disease, corresponding to 14.5% of the study population total. Of those cases, 36 were women and 17 were men (p = 0.834). The patients with celiac disease were older (58 vs. 49 years, p = 0.012) and presented with higher percentages of iron deficiency (50.9% vs. 31.3%, p = 0.005) and steatorrhea (41.5% vs. 22.4%, p = 0.003) than the non-celiacs.

There were no statistically significant differences in the frequency of autoimmune diseases between celiacs and non-celiacs (p = 0.370). Nineteen of the celiac patients had an associated autoimmune disease; 7 of them had autoimmune hypothyroidism. Only two of the 53 patients with celiac disease were classified as having seronegative celiac disease (3.8%).

Of the 107 patients with IVA, 49 were celiac patients (45.8%). Of those 107 cases, only 3 were classified as Marsh 3c and they were all celiacs.

Anti-tTG IgA antibody levels and IVA

Nineteen celiac patients had anti-tTG IgA levels between 1-5xULN (3.2–16.0 U/mL). Levels in 8 cases were between 5-10xULN (16−32 U/mL) and 9 were above 10xULN (>32 U/mL). In 7 cases, anti-tTG IgA antibodies were negative (<3.2 mg/dL). Five of those patients were on a gluten-free diet at the time of the approach, and the other 2 were classified as having seronegative celiac disease. A level above 10xULN had 17.9% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% PPV, and 74.7% negative predictive value (NPV).

The area under the curve (AUC) was 70% (95% CI 63.5–76.6), with an optimum cutoff point of ≥ 3.3xULN for predicting IVA (45.3% sensitivity, 89.2% specificity) (Fig. 2).

Figure 2.

ROC curve detailing the capacity to predict duodenal villous atrophy based on serum tTG-IgA levels.

Source: Original figure of our own authorship.

Table 2 details the diagnostic accuracy of the different cutoff points of anti-tTG IgA for predicting IVA.

Table 2.

Diagnostic accuracy of different anti-tTG IgA cutoff points for predicting villous atrophy.

  Sensitivity  Specificity  PPV  NPV  AUC 
Anti-tTG IgA ≥ 32 U/mL (≥10xULN)  17.9%  100%  100%  74.7%  59.0% (55.3−62.6) 
Anti-tTG IgA ≥ 16 U/mL (≥5xULN)  24.5%  99.6%  96.2%  76.2%  62.1% (57.9−66.2) 
Anti-tTG IgA ≥ 9.6 U/mL (≥3xULN)  31.1%  98.8%  91.5%  77.6%  65.0% (60.5−69.5) 
Anti-tTG IgA ≥ 3.2 U/mL (≥1xULN)  45.3%  87.3%  59.6%  79.4%  66.3% (61.1−71.5) 

AUC: area under the curve; NPV: negative predictive value; PPV: positive predictive value; ULN: upper limit of normal.

Source: original table of our own authorship.
Anti-tTG IgA levels in relation to other antibodies

Anti-EMA testing was performed in 218 cases (60%). Only 7 of the cases were positive, 6 of which were associated with anti-tTG IgA antibody levels >10xULN.

Anti-deamidated gliadin IgA antibodies were determined in 117 cases (31.9%) and anti-deamidated gliadin IgG in 213 cases (58.2%). Table 3 shows the relation of the different antibodies with the anti-tTG IgA levels.

Table 3.

Diagnostic accuracy of different anti-tTG IgA cutoff points for predicting villous atrophy.

  Anti-tTG IgA  Anti-tTG IgA  Anti-tTG IgA  Anti-tTG IgA 
  Negative (< 3.2 U/mL)  1-5xULN (3.2-16 U/mL)  5-10xULN (16-32 U/mL)  ≥ 10xULN (≥ 32 U/mL) 
Anti-endomysial (%)  0 / 172 (0)  0 / 29 (0)  1/5 (20)  6/12 (50) 
Anti-deamidated gliadin IgG  4.6 (3.7–6.3)7.1 (4.3–12.5)9.2 (6.5–7.8)41.1 (27.4–109)
Median (IQR) 
Anti-deamidated gliadin IgA  5.2 (4.1–8.2)11.6 (6.8–23.6)27.4 (27.4 – 27.4)58.3 (18.1–116.8)
Median (IQR) 

IQR: interquartile range; ULN: upper limit of normal.

Source: original table of our own authorship.

Forty-five (60%) of the 75 cases in whom risk-related haplotypes were looked for expressed the HLA DQ2/DQ8 haplotypes and 8 of those patients had celiac disease (17%).

Differential diagnoses in patients with villous atrophy

Fig. 1 shows the diagnoses made in the total study population. Marsh 3a-3c IVA was documented in 107 of the 366 patients, and 49 of them were celiacs. SIBO was diagnosed in 25 cases, tropical sprue in 18, inflammatory bowel disease in 5, and drug-induced diarrhea in 5. Three of the drug-induced diarrhea cases were attributed to antimetabolites (azathioprine or mycophenolate mofetil), one case to nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and one case to telmisartan. Other less common causes were exocrine pancreatic insufficiency (n = 1), miscellaneous enteropathies (2 cases of eosinophilic enteritis), malignancy (one case of lymphoma), and immunodeficiency (one case of Good syndrome). Supplementary Table 2 details the remaining cases without IVA (n = 259).

Discussion

Our study evaluated the capacity of anti-tTG IgA antibodies to predict IVA in Mexican patients with celiac disease, demonstrating that levels ≥ 10xULN had excellent PPV but low sensitivity. This is similar to findings in other cohorts.10–13 However, we also demonstrated that lower cutoff points, such as ≥ 5xULN or ≥ 3xULN, increased sensitivity, without compromising specificity. The analysis was carried out on 366 patients with a high probability of presenting with celiac disease, 31% of whom had IVA. We consider that endoscopy with biopsy may be avoided in precisely that group of patients with a high pre-test probability, because pre-test probability influences diagnostic yield, as shown by Sugai et al., in a prospective study on 679 adults (161 at high risk for celiac disease). Those authors reported that the diagnostic yield of anti-tTG IgA varied, according to celiac disease probability: an AUC of 0.968−0.999 in high-risk patients and 0.835−0.972 in low-risk patients, with different optimum cutoff points for detecting villous atrophy: 34 U/mL in the high-probability group and 146 U/mL in the low-probability group.11

Our study included 366 patients with clinical and biochemical data suggestive of deficient intestinal absorption, and as a consequence, a high probability of celiac disease. Celiac disease was diagnosed in 14.5% of the patient total. Using that percentage as the a priori prevalence, the diagnostic yield of anti- tTG IgA 10xULN was 86%, because that cutoff level had a 100% PPV for identifying IVA. However, of the total of 53 patients with celiac disease, only 19 (35%) of them had values > 10xULN, a figure that improved if the 8 cases with anti-tTG IgA > 5xULN (a value that also had a high PPV [96.2%]) were added.

Our primary aim was to evaluate the usefulness of anti-tTG IgA antibodies for identifying IVA, but other associated antibodies are commonly employed. In our study, anti-EMA testing was ordered in 60% of cases and only 7 cases had positive results. Of those 7 cases, all were celiacs, and 6 of them had anti-tTG IgA antibody levels of 10xULN. This was possibly due to a low level of standardization in its quantification, the fact that it is operator-dependent, and its lower sensitivity. On the other hand, we found that patients with high anti-tTG IgA values also had the highest levels of anti-deaminated gliadin IgG (determined in 58%) and anti-deaminated gliadin IgA (determined in 32%).

We believe one of the strengths of our study is the inclusion of a large number of suspected celiac disease cases. All our study patients underwent endoscopy with duodenal biopsy, many of whom were diagnosed as “compatible with celiac disease”. The review of the histologic material by pathologists specializing in the digestive tract provided us with a more appropriate classification. To achieve our primary aim we focused our attention on the patients with IVA, whose overall identification was 29% of the cases. As has been shown in the literature, the most common cause of IVA was celiac disease, corresponding to 45.8%, followed by bacterial overgrowth (n = 25, 23.4%) and tropical sprue (n = 18, 16.8%). SIBO and tropical sprue are clinically and histologically very similar to celiac disease and sometimes coexist with it, which is why biopsy could not always be avoided. Furthermore, the prevalence of SIBO may likely be overestimated in our study cohort, given that the lactulose breath test has the potential to produce false positives. On the other hand, our study included 2 patients with seronegative celiac disease, which, while compromising the sensitivity calculations, makes them closer to real-world clinical practice, where there is the possibility of seronegative celiac disease. In a retrospective study that included 200 patients with IVA and negative celiac disease serology, the first cause of IVA was seronegative celiac disease, followed by infections (Helicobacter pylori, giardiasis), SIBO, or drug-induced enteropathy, whose importance is emphasized in other reports.14–18

Our study has certain limitations. It is susceptible to the biases inherent in all retrospective analyses and in studies conducted at a single center referral hospital. Other limitations were that some of the patients could have been on a gluten-free diet without having reported it, influencing the anti-tTG IgA antibody levels, and that we could not precisely establish the length of time from taking the blood samples for quantifying anti-tTG IgA antibodies to performing the endoscopies with biopsy.

Despite those barriers, we believe our study has the following strengths: it is the only study that has evaluated the usefulness of blood levels of anti-tTG IgA for predicting IVA in a Mexican population; it grouped together a series of patients with similar clinical characteristics, whose duodenal biopsies were meticulously evaluated by specialists in gastrointestinal pathology; and all patients received a definitive diagnosis supported by solid clinical and laboratory criteria that enabled a robust comparative evaluation to be carried out.

Conclusion

The present study demonstrated that anti-tTG IgA levels > 10xULN had an excellent PPV for detecting IVA, but as reported in other studies, sensitivity at that cutoff point is low. Nevertheless, utilizing different cutoff points, such as ≥ 5 and ≥ 3.3xULN, improved sensitivity without compromising specificity, which could be useful in the context of limited access to endoscopy units.

Financial disclosure

No financial support was received in relation to this study/article.

Declaration of competing interest

The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.

Appendix A
Supplementary data

The following is Supplementary data to this article:

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See related content at DOI: 10.1016/j.rgmxen.2026.05.001, Rubio-Tapia A. Predictive capacity of IgA anti-tissue transglutaminase antibody levels for identifying intestinal villous atrophy in persons with celiac disease: An observational study at a referral center in Mexico City. Rev Gastroenterol Mex. 2026;91:153-154.

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